as at 09 Oct 2026
Insurance Asset News

Sterling volatility adjustment

The sterling volatility adjustment is the addition UK insurers may make to the risk-free discount rate they use for long-term liabilities. It is published monthly by the PRA, in the same workbook as the risk-free curves, and it moves with credit spreads: when spreads widen the adjustment rises, which is precisely the point of it — it stops a liability valuation swinging on spread movements an insurer holding to maturity will never realise.

The adjustment is one input to regulatory liability valuation, rather than an asset return. This history is intended to make the monthly series easy to inspect alongside the rates and spreads shown on the Economic Dashboard. For the UK prudential framework and matching-adjustment coverage, see Solvency UK. The underlying methodology, reference portfolio and publication calendar remain those of the regulator named below.

17bps
as at 30 September 2026 · +1 bp on 31 August 2026
45 months of history held, 44 observations · published by the Prudential Regulation Authority
10162228344031 January 2023: 25 bps28 February 2023: 28 bps31 March 2023: 31 bps30 April 2023: 28 bps31 May 2023: 30 bps30 June 2023: 29 bps31 July 2023: 26 bps31 August 2023: 27 bps30 September 2023: 30 bps31 October 2023: 34 bps30 November 2023: 29 bps31 December 2023: 31 bps31 January 2024: 29 bps29 February 2024: 27 bps31 March 2024: 20 bps30 April 2024: 20 bps31 May 2024: 20 bps30 June 2024: 23 bps31 August 2024: 22 bps30 September 2024: 24 bps31 October 2024: 22 bps30 November 2024: 24 bps31 December 2024: 24 bps31 January 2025: 23 bps28 February 2025: 22 bps31 March 2025: 27 bps30 April 2025: 29 bps31 May 2025: 27 bps30 June 2025: 25 bps31 July 2025: 24 bps31 August 2025: 25 bps30 September 2025: 25 bps31 October 2025: 23 bps30 November 2025: 24 bps31 December 2025: 24 bps31 January 2026: 21 bps28 February 2026: 22 bps31 March 2026: 18 bps30 April 2026: 18 bps31 May 2026: 16 bps30 June 2026: 16 bps31 July 2026: 17 bps31 August 2026: 16 bps30 September 2026: 17 bps17 bpsJan 23Sep 23May 24Feb 25Oct 25Sep 26bps
Sterling volatility adjustment, basis points, monthly. 44 observations from 31 January 2023 to 30 September 2026.

Every observation

The figure for each month is read from that month’s published workbook and stored. Nothing here is interpolated, and a month the regulator did not publish is absent rather than filled in.

Reference dateVolatility adjustmentChange
30 September 202617 bps+1 bp
31 August 202616 bps−1 bp
31 July 202617 bps+1 bp
30 June 202616 bpsunchanged
31 May 202616 bps−2 bp
30 April 202618 bpsunchanged
31 March 202618 bps−4 bp
28 February 202622 bps+1 bp
31 January 202621 bps−3 bp
31 December 202524 bpsunchanged
30 November 202524 bps+1 bp
31 October 202523 bps−2 bp
30 September 202525 bpsunchanged
31 August 202525 bps+1 bp
31 July 202524 bps−1 bp
30 June 202525 bps−2 bp
31 May 202527 bps−2 bp
30 April 202529 bps+2 bp
31 March 202527 bps+5 bp
28 February 202522 bps−1 bp
31 January 202523 bps−1 bp
31 December 202424 bpsunchanged
30 November 202424 bps+2 bp
31 October 202422 bps−2 bp
30 September 202424 bps+2 bp
31 August 202422 bps−1 bp
30 June 202423 bps+3 bp
31 May 202420 bpsunchanged
30 April 202420 bpsunchanged
31 March 202420 bps−7 bp
29 February 202427 bps−2 bp
31 January 202429 bps−2 bp
31 December 202331 bps+2 bp
30 November 202329 bps−5 bp
31 October 202334 bps+4 bp
30 September 202330 bps+3 bp
31 August 202327 bps+1 bp
31 July 202326 bps−3 bp
30 June 202329 bps−1 bp
31 May 202330 bps+2 bp
30 April 202328 bps−3 bp
31 March 202331 bps+3 bp
28 February 202328 bps+3 bp
31 January 202325 bps—

Where these numbers come from

Every figure is read from the Prudential Regulation Authority’s own monthly publication — the source index — and each observation is dated by the workbook’s own internal reference date, not by when it was published or when we read it. Where the two disagree the figure is discarded rather than attributed to the wrong month.

The store was last updated 8 October 2026. It is filled by the scheduled data job and never by a page load: these numbers exist only inside monthly Excel workbooks, so every point cost a download of the whole file.

See also the euro volatility adjustment and the insurer balance sheet.