BoE stress test puts private credit, PE and insurers in the same systemic-risk frame
Participants have modelled about £370bn of private credit and £400bn of private equity capital.
The Bank of England has begun the scenario phase of its system-wide exploratory scenario for private markets, sending 46 participants a hypothetical five-year global recession to run their private credit and private equity books against. The scenario was published on 19 June.
Insurers enter the exercise as limited partners — institutional investors that supply capital to private equity and private credit funds, and hold debt issued by private-equity-sponsored corporates directly and through funds run by asset managers. Listing insurers among the limited partners makes their allocation decisions part of what is being tested: how stress moves through private markets at system level.
The scenario specifies a severe but plausible global macroeconomic recession over five years, calibrated as a tail-risk outcome and broadly consistent in severity with the Bank Capital Stress Test. It ends in 2030.
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